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Cleveland's LED future - facts or fiction, competition or contract steering?Submitted by briancummins on Sun, 07/11/2010 - 22:17.
ANNOUNCEMENTOn Monday July 12th, at 1:00 pm, Cleveland City Council's Community and Economic Development Committee will resume discussions regarding Ord. 829-10 (LED lighting), and feature independent expert testimony on Economic Development Strategies and LED technology, products and industry. Guest speakers will include: Susan R. Helper Laszlo Kozmon Monday’s meeting is only the second time Council will hear from independent speakers since Ord. 829-10 was introduced on June 7th. Last Wednesday, Council heard from representatives of Case Western Reserve University, Eugene Matthews, the school's facilities services director and Frank Merat and engineering professor. Brian Cummins -------------------------------------------- UPDATE re: Ordinance 829-10 LED LightingGE CEO speaks out against City’s OrdinanceMichael B. Petras Jr., President and CEO of GE Lighting was featured in today’s Plain Dealer; LED Ordinance No. 829-10: same proposal, different packaging. He called on Cleveland City Council to amend the ordinances and expressed concerns such as the ordinance’s lack of technical specifications; a requirement of bundling four separate products into the bid requirements; the length of the contract (10-years) for a technology that is rapidly changing; requirements to include linear tube (fluorescent) light replacements which are seen as not viable alternatives yet by the Department of Energy. Petras also stated that the ordinance is written, “to steer a long-term contract to the administration’s favored supplier”, alluding to the previous ordinance, number 496-10 that would of provided a Chinese LED maker Sunpu – Opto, a contract with virtually the same conditions as the current ordinance with exceptions it would not have had to compete for the contract. Industry experts and municipal officials offer insightOther industry professionals and municipal government officials have also recently expressed concerns and opinions about the proposed ordinance. The following are excerpts from recent communications: Paraphrasing from a conversation with an LED lighting expert affiliated with the Department of Energy’s Solid State Lighting Program – “a company may be able to provide 50 to 100 jobs as related to sales, distribution and assembly of LED products, but 350 jobs [for which the ordinance specifically calls for by the 5th year]…these are phantom jobs”. Multiple persons familiar with LED technology, manufactures and the general industry concur that the top of the supply/value chain is the most likely area where jobs can be created with the least cost and risk exposure for a company, but with also the lowest wage jobs being created. A City official from a municipality that was one of the first adopters of LED lighting had the following comments regarding our Administration’s plans and strategies – “…Municipalities are excellent laboratories for this because of the wide diversity of lighting we maintain and because we have a long-term vested interest in both energy and maintenance savings since we generally own an asset for its entire lifetime once installed in one of our facilities. When we started the partnership in late 2006, high brightness LED's had been available less than a year… …We often have vendors coming to us with claims regarding their products that we will benchmark against what the technologists at Cree [LED City program]know about that product, and they will often bench-test its performance before we make any commitments. In return we are always trying new solid state lighting applications. We keep good data on our installations and try to document our results, then discuss these results among our peers and at conferences. …the landscape of products available in this market space is totally dynamic right now. There are probably 4-8 times as many high-quality low-bay fixtures available now as this time last year. Interior LED retrofit lighting, which was barely on the radar screen two years ago, now shows up in Home Depot. Those manufacturers who introduced high quality fixtures in 2008 have already gone through a second generation of design and now are working on a third… Also now many more companies, particularly the large lighting manufacturers like Kim Lighting, GE, etc. are now jumping into the design business with both feet. That being said, making a commitment to one company for 10 years seems highly risky. Unless that company happens to be on the forefront of innovation in this field you might be left with inferior products for a long period of time as the rest of the industry leaps ahead of you. …LED is probably not a great space to do this [leverage purchasing power for jobs with a single supplier] in because so many players are producing such innovative products, the products are changing and evolving very fast and the standards world is struggling to keep up, and they are not all the big boys like Philips, GE or Sylvania. Also companies tend to specialize in certain LED applications (you may have some companies focusing on industrial lighting - high bay and low-bay fixtures and wall-packs, while others specialize in interior decorative lighting) so it is going to be very difficult (read: impossible) to find one company who can effectively supply the highest quality LED products interior and exterior, big and small, industrial and decorative. Right now I am VERY wary of Chinese fixture imports, particularly from companies that do not have a big presence in the US. I'd rather somebody else try them out first. Our facilities people have become rather expert in this technology now, and they know quality when they see it. If they have questions they will ask the techies out at Cree. As far as the job creation requirement, I am no politician, but though this will likely be good politics, I think it is likely to result in either inferior products going into your municipal applications or the company begging off on the deal somewhere down the road. This industry is very likely to go the way of the rest of the semiconductor industry, with R&D happening in the high-tech R&D centers in this country, fixture design in Europe or elsewhere in the US, manufacturing of components in Asia, and reassembly either in Asia or the US depending on the product. To hamstring a company into developing an assembly line in Cleveland when their competitors are taking advantage of the global supply chain network will put them at a disadvantage… I will simply say that we have benefited from buying things in small quantities from a variety of manufacturers. As the landscape continues to rapidly change we will continue to use this strategy to get the best, most innovative products installed for our needs. We are looking at some wholesale streetlight changes but our strategy will probably involve a multi-year rollout and may not involve the same fixture from beginning to end. If you have GE headquarters in your market it is probably a lot better to leverage them to bring their R&D operation to Cleveland for LED products as a way of being a good corporate citizen, since this end of the business is not likely to be outsourced, and I would not think that trying to leverage this with a sole source contract for all your LED fixture needs would be a wise way to try to achieve this, since GE is not the industry leader in all these sectors (yet!?!)…"
The DOE on the performance testing of LED linear tube (fluorescent) replacement lighting“DOE’s CALiPER program has tested 12 different LED T8 replacement lamps to date, and finds that their performance falls short of fluorescent benchmarks… Average initial bare lamp light output of the LED T8 replacements tested was about one-third the average for fluorescent T8s. On initial two-lamp system efficacy, two-lamp fixture output, luminaire efficacy, and CRI, the LED T8 replacement performance was significantly below that of the fluorescent T8s. Average fixture efficiency was higher with LED T8s because LEDs are directional, so less light is lost inside the fixture. This was not enough to compensate for the much lower light output… To provide equivalent light output to fluorescent T8s and also save energy, LED T8s will need to become two to three times more efficacious than they are today.” See the DOE’s June 11th, 2010 warning regarding these products. Technical Standards for LED lightingDOE sited current general LED industry and specific Energy Star technical standards – Energy Star criteria for LED traffic light signals: Energy Star criteria for incandescent light bulb LED replacements: Fluorescent T8 linear tube LED replacement lighting:
Economic development strategies and procurement practices that can limit competition and risk poor quality of product The economic development and jobs creation strategy the Administration is utilizing seeks to leverage the City’s buying power, as pertains to lighting needs, in order to create jobs - 350 within 5-years. JOBS NOTE: there is only a limited 20% (70 jobs) requirement for residents of Cleveland of the total 350 jobs to be provided. The strategies and conditions of the ordinance, although they are claimed as being beneficial to the City, could have an impact at limiting competition and result in higher risks to the City in terms of ensuring for the 10-year term, the quality of each individual product and their efficiency and costs saving value. Some of the procurement strategies being proposed to achieve this and alternatives are:
Questioning assumptions of jobs creation requirement and goalsMost industry experts agree that the claims and assumptions of being able to create 350 new jobs in the way this ordinance is framed are doubtful. The 350 jobs are not required until the end of year 5. This is assumed to take into account that the first requirements of setting up an assembly facility (by the 18th-month) will likely generate between 50 and 100 low wage jobs. The next phase, of initiating manufacturing is required to take place by month 36 (end of 3rd year). Ultimately, by the end of the 5th year the 350 jobs are required to be created and with them, a research and development (R&D) operations established. But, there are no total payroll requirements, nor any requirements to delineate the specific types of jobs or their estimated wages. And, while 350 jobs are required, only 70, or 20% need to go to actual Cleveland residents. Many critics of the plan state that the assembly, and affiliated sales and distribution and administrative jobs are could likely be created. But, most agree that the actual manufacturing, engineering and R&D jobs would be difficult to create due to the industry’s norm of using cheaper labor off-shore in Asia and Mexico. The plan does not allow for jobs to be created outside of Cleveland proper, i.e., within the region. Nor, does it permit other potential related jobs that are created be counted, i.e., GE ostensibly could hire positions related to other technology they are or would be involved in and the company, Green Mill Global, based in Akron, who has been developing a relationship with South Korean LED maker Fawoo, through Fawoo North Tech America, could establish the jobs within the region as well as establish additional jobs for their affiliated wall-systems manufacturing. See the image below that describes the general value and supply chain for LED products. Note that per industry experts the materials, components and finished product process (manufacturing) involve the highest level of expertise and highest costs associated with the product. Whereas, the end-line assembly, warehousing, sales and distribution are the lowest valued, costs and wages associated with the operations.
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Jackson's Retirement Plan
I am just going to cut to the chase--this LED deal is Jackson's retirement plan. Now, I am just wondering where he plans to retire?
Jackson knows all the dirt on everyone - he is as made as may be
Jackson knows all the dirt on everyone - he is as made as may be
If he doesn't go to jail, he is set for life - and so are all his extended family members.
You don't sell an entire city, region and nation down the shithole for nothing. It is for personal gain.
Disrupt IT
The DIRT
Got that right...
If we had ONE HONEST LEADER
If we had ONE HONEST LEADER, we would not have any of our real problems in the region. They all know the dirt on everyone - I can;t wait until one is on his/her death bed and actually FINDS GOD.
The rest can go to hell.
Disrupt IT
when are you running Norm?
show us how it's done! you'd be great. and here at Realneo you have the perfect venue to begin promotion of yourself as candidate.
surprised you didn't throw your hat into the county race. you've got the ideas, the drive and the community's support. as you posted we need one HOMEST leader. why not you?
I'll play the role of helping to provide impartial media
I started the process - didn't feel the love but felt the hate. So I'll spend this year helping other citizens know who is running and all their positions on the important issues like cleaning up the environment BEFORE the elections... I'll play the role of helping to provide impartial media.
Disrupt IT
oops Honest - NOT Homest
neat typo tho
thx
yeah, codes
but sometimes codes need to be rewritten to better reflect the new decade and the changing technology. We have to think outside the box.